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Publications,
Papers, Theses and Bibliographies
for Theses, scroll to middle of table;
for Bibliographies and "Other Papers", go to bottom of list
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Organized by Date
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PAPERS
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Using
Flexibility to Improve Value-for-Money in Hospital Infrastructure
Investments
Richard de Neufville, Yun S. Lee, and Stefan Scholtes
IEEE Conference ofn Instructure Systems, Rotterdam, 10-12 Nov., 2008
Using
Flexibility to improve value-for-money in PFI projects
Richard de Neufville, Yun S. Lee and Stefan Scholtes
Symposium on Refining Health Care Infrastructure, 3-4 April 2008,
Tanaka Business School, Imperial College London
Using
Real Options to Increase the Value of Intelligent Transportation Systems
Richard de Neufville, Kenichi Hodota, Joseph Sussman, and Stefan
Scholtes
Transportation Research Board, January 2008
Analysis
and
Applications of Design Structure Matrix, Domain Mapping Matrix, and
Engineering System Matrix Framework
J. Bartolomei, M. Cokus, J. Dahlgren, R. de Neufville, R. Maldonado,
and J. Wilds
June 2007
Extracting
Value from Uncertainty: A Methodology for Engineering Systems Design
Michel-Alexandre Cardin, William Nuttall, Richard de Neufville, and
John Dalgren, 17th.
Annual International Symposium of the International Council
on Systems Engineering (INCOSE), San Diego, June 2007.
Proposed Methodology for Valueing Start-Up or Research Companies
Nicola De Blasio, Raffaella Turatto and Richard de Neufville, Nuova
Energia, Milan, No. 2, pp. 34 -37, 2007
http://www.nuova-energia.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=533&Itemid=113
Extracting Value from Uncertainty: Proposed Methodology for
Engineering Systems Design
Michel-Alexandre Cardin, Richard de Neufville and John
Dahlgren
Conference on Systems Engineering Research (CSER) Stevens Institute of
Technology, Hoboken, NJ, March 2007
Marches
Electriques: Securite Energetique et Diversification
Technologique: Le Nucleaire comme Couverture face aux Risques de Prix
du Gaz et du Carbone
Fabien Roques, William Nuttall, David Newbery, and Richard de
Neufville,
La Revue de l'Energie, Number 568, Nov.-Dec., pp.373-385, 2005.
Nuclear
Power: A Hedge against Uncertain
Gas and Carbon Prices?
Fabien Roques, William Nuttall, David Newbery, Richard de Neufville and
Stephen Connors, Energy Journal,
Number 4, Volume 27, 2006.
Maximizing
Value from Large Projects: Implementing Flexibility in
Public-Private Partnerships , Richard de Neufville and Stefan
Scholtes, Briefing Paper, May 2006
Design of Engineering Systems Under Uncertainty via Real Options and
Heuristic Optimization , Rania Hassan and Richard de
Neufville, Real Options Conference, New York, June 2006.
Real
Options in Systems Design: A Methodological Compromise and its
Implications , Konstantinos Kalligeros and Richard de Neufville,
Real Options Conference, New York, June 2006.
Identification
of Real Options "in" Projects
Tao Wang and Richard de Neufville, 16th. Annual International
Symposium of the International Council
on Systems Engineering (INCOSE) Orlando, July 2006.
Prize for Best Paper at INCOSE Conference
Screening
for Real Options "in" Engineering Systems: A Step towards
Flexible Weapons Development ,
Jason Bartolomei, Richard de Neufville, Daniel Hastings and Donna
Rhodes,
16th.
Annual International Symposium
of the International Council on Systems Engineering (INCOSE) Orlando,
July 2006.
Platform Identification Using Design Structure Matrices
Konstantinos Kalligeros, Olivier de Weck, Richard de Neufville and
Adrrian Luckins
16th. Annual International Symposium of the International Council on
Systems Engineering (INCOSE) Orlando, July 2006.
Identification of Real
Options "in" Projects , Tao Wang and Richard de Neufville,
Conference on Systems Engineering Research (CSER), Los Angeles, CA,
April 2006
Research
Agenda for an Integrated approach to Infrastructure Planning, Design,
and Management
R. John
Hansman, Chris Magee, Richard de Neufville, Renee Robins and Daniel Roos
Special Issue on "Next Generation Infrastructures," International
Journal of Critical Infrastructures, Vol.3, Issue 2/3, pp.146-159,
2006.
See also: http://www.inderscience.com/browse/index.php?
Valuing Options by
Spreadsheet: Parking Garage Case Example
Richard
de Neufville, Stefan Scholtes and Tao Wang -- ASCE Journal of
Infrastructure Systems, Vol.12, No.2. pp. 107-111, 2006
Spreadsheet for this
analysis
Latin
American version
of above:
Opciones reales en
Hoja de Calculo: Caso de un edificio de parqueo
Version castellana con ayuda de Laura Escudero (Feb 2008)
Opciones reales en Hoja de Cálculo: Caso de un edificio de aparcamiento
Nuclear
Power: A Hedge against Uncertain Gas and Carbon Prices?
Fabien Roques, William Nuttall, David Newbery, and Richard de Neufville
Cambridge University, Electricity Policy Research Group Working paper
EPRG 05/10, 2005
Value-at-Risk
Analysis for Real Options in Complex Engineered Systems
Rania Hassan, Richard de Neufville, Olivier de Weck, Daniel Hastings
and D. McKinnon
Systems, Man and Cybernetics, 2005 IEEE International Conference on
Large Scale Infrastructures, Hawaii, 10-12
October in Volume 4, pp. 3697-3704, Digital Object Identifier
10.1109/ICSMC.2005.1571721
Management
of Technology Investment Risk with Real Options-Based
Design: A case study of an innovative building technology
Lara Greden, Richard de Neufville and Leon Glicksman
Real Options Conference, Paris, 2005
Real
Options "in" Projects
Tao Wang and Richard de Neufville
Real Options Conference, Paris, 2005
An options view of designing capacity: an introductory tutorial
Stefan Scholtes, 2004
Uncertainty
Management for Engineering Systems Planning and Design
Richard de Neufville et al, ESD Monograph, March 2004
Building Real Options into Physical Systems with Stochastic
Mixed-Integer Programming
Richard de Neufville and Tao Wang, 8th Annual International Conference
on Real Options, Montreal, Canada, June
2004
http://www.realoptions.org/papers2004/de_Neufville.pdf
Architecting/Designing
Engineering Systems Using Real Options
Richard de Neufville et al., ESD Symposium, Cambridge, MA May 2002
Staged
Deployment of Communication Satellite Constellation in Low Earth Orbit
Olivier de Weck, Richard de Neufville and Matthieu Chaize
Jour. of Aerospace Computing, Information, and Communications, Vol. 1,
No. 3, Mar., pp. 119-131, 2004
Enhancing the Economics of Communications Satellites via Orbital
Reconfigurations and Staged Deployment
Olivier de Weck, Richard de Neufville and Matthieu Chaize
AIAA - 2003 - 6317, presented at AIAA Space Conference, Long Beach, CA,
Sept. 2003
Real Options:
Dealing With Uncertainty In Systems Planning And Design
Richard
de Neufville - presented at International Conference on
"Technology Policy and Innovation", June, 2001; published in Special
Issue, Integrated Assessment, Vol. 4, No.1, pp. 26-34, 2003.
Hybrid Real Options Valuation of Risky Product Development
Projects
Richard
de Neufville and James Neely - International Journal of
Technology, Policy and Management, Vol.1, No.1, pp.29-46, Jan. 2001
Dynamic
Strategic Planning for Technology Policy
Richard de Neufville - International Journal of Technology Management,
Vol.19, No.3/4/5, pp.225-245, 2000
A
Dynamic Technology Strategy for Xerox to Respond to the Threat of
High-Tech Commoditization
Richard de Neufville and Ali Pirnar - International Journal of
Technology Management, Vol.18, No.1/2, pp.73-92, 1999
Defining Markets for New Materials -- Developing a Utility Methodology
with Case Application
Richard de Neufville, Christophe Mangin, Frank Field and Joel Clark -
Resources Policy, Vol. 21, No.3, pp.169-178, September 1995
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THESES
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Richard-Duane
Chambers
Tackling
Uncertainty in Airport Design: A Real Options Approach, MIT,
September 2007
Spreadsheets for running analyses for Airport Expansion Exercises:
Readme
Runway
Default; Runway;
Terminal
Expansion Default
Terminal Expansion
1,
2,
3,
4,
5,
6,
7,
8,
9
Baabak Barman and Kathryn Nash
A
Streamlined Real Options Model for Real Estate Development,
MIT Masters in Real Estate Development, September 2007
Shuichi Masunaga
A
Comparative Study of Real Options Valuation Methods:
Economics-Based Approach vs. Engineering-Based Approach
MIT
Masters in Real Estate Development, September 2007
Matthew Lister
Towards
a New Real Estate: Innovative Financing for a Better Built Environment
MIT
Masters in Real Estate Development, September 2007
Boyana Petkova
Strategic
Planning for Rail System Design -- An Application for Portuguese
High-Speed Rail,
University of Groningen, Master's Thesis in Industrial Engineering and
Management, June 2007
Yun Shin Lee
Flexible
Design in Public Private Partnerships: A PFI Case Study in the National
Health Service
Judge Business School, University of Cambridge, June 2007.
Master's
Dissertation supervised by Prof. Stefan Scholtes
Jason Bartolomei
Qualitative
Knowledge Construction for Engineering Systems: Extending the
Design Structure Matrix Methodology in Scope and Perspective,
Doctoral Dissertation, MIT, June, 2007
Joshua McConnell
A
Life-Cycle Flexibility Framework for Designing, Evaluating and Managing
"Complex" Real Options: Case Studies in Urban Transportation and
Aircraft Systems , Doctoral Dissertation, MIT, May 2007
Michel-Alexandre Cardin
Facing
Reality: Design and Management of Flexible Engineering Systems ,
MIT, May, 2007
Abisoye Babajide
Real
Options Analysis as a Decision Tool in Oil Field Development ,
MIT, February 2007
Darren Rivey
A Practical
Method for Incorporating Real Options Analysis into US Federal
Benefit-Cost Analysis Procedures , MIT, January 2007
Konstantinos Kalligeros
Platforms
and Flexibility in Large-Scale Engineering Systems ,
Doctoral Dissertation, MIT, May 2006
Kenichi Hodota
R&D
and Deployment of Intelligent Transportation Systems: A Case Example of
the Intersection Collision Avoidance Systems, MIT, May 2006
Maggie Tsui
Valuing
Innovative Technology R&D as a Real Option:
Application to Fuel
Cell Vehicles , MIT, September 2005
Tao Wang
Real
Options "in" Projects
and Systems Design -- Identification of Options and Solutions for Path
Dependency, Doctoral Dissertation, MIT, May, 2005
Lara Greden
Flexibility
in Building Design: A Real Options Approach and
Valuation Methodology to Address Risk, Doctoral
Dissertation, MIT, April 2005
Geetanjali Mittal
Real
Options Approach to Capacity Planning Under Uncertainty , MIT,
February, 2004
Sophie Pochard
Managing
Risks of Supply-Chain Disruptions: Dual Sourcing as a Real
Option , MIT, August 2003
Tao Wang
Analysis
of Real Options in Hydropower Construction Projects: A Case
Study in China , MIT, August 2003
Natalia Ramirez
Valuing
Flexibility in Infrastructure Developments: The Bogota Water Supply
Expansion Plan ,
MIT, May 2002 [Prize for Best Thesis in Technology Policy]
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